Shivakantjha.org - Triplet 12 - This London Economic Summit: An Evaluation
Triplet 12
This London Economic Summit: An Evaluation
By Shiva Kant Jha
April 17, 2009
GORDON Brown,
the British Prime Minister, declared at the end of the April 2, 2009 G-20
Summit that that was “the day the world came together to fight back
against the global recession”. But the outcome of the Summit does
not seem to be so inspiring. It was convened to revive the paralyzed
global economy, and to take remedial measures to rid the world of the systemic
ills of the present-day financial system. It has made some good strides, but
a lot more must be done soon to achieve the objectives.
Reflecting
on the London Economic Conference, convened in 1933, to study the etiology
of the financial crisis held to arrest the global depression, to revive
and reinvigorate international trade, and to bring about stability in
international currencies,
and to prescribe appropriate remedy to save the world from such a scourge
ever in future, H.G. Wells made a pregnant comment:
“The
London Conference rose to no such dramatic climax as the signing of the Peace
Treaty at Versailles. It rose to nothing. It began at its highest point and
steadily declined. If Versailles produced a monster, London produced nothing
at all. Never did so valiant a beginning peter out so completely.”
Variating
on the above phraseology I would reflect on this London Conference convened
on April 2, 2009. This Summit rose to no such
dramatic climax as the Washington Consensus, or later the signing of the Uruguay
Round Final Act. It began with high expectations but seems to have lost
its way in the smog. The valiant Knights of the Neo-liberal economic paradigm
left no stone unturned to drive the summiteers’ deliberations to promote
their agenda. I pray to God something really good comes out of this collective
endeavour of the great leaders.
It
is in itself good that the leaders of the world’s twenty major economies
have showed their earnestness to find ways and means to lift the world from
a morbid economic morass. But in their zest some political leaders showed their
assumptions and assertions where prudent statesmanship is required. None showed
the intellectual humility of the sort Montagu Norman, who was the Governor
of the Bank of England, and had closely watched the outcome of the 1933 Conference,
had shown when he stated with a remarkable insight at a public function:
“The
economic problem is too great for me. The difficulties are so vast, so novel,
precedents so lacking that I approach the whole subject in ignorance and
humility. It is too great for me.”
The
task before the world leaders was baffling, and required patience, imagination,
understanding and broad vision taking a long view of future and a broad view
of collective social responsibilities. The problems required political sagacity
of the highest order. It seems they were led by the economists whose adroitness
is most often in their assertions and assumptions. The economists can
at best provide us with tools, they cannot be our decision-makers. Rightly
did Thomas Balogh say: “The history of economic theory is a tale of evasions
of reality.”( The Irrelevance of Conventional Economics p. 3).
It is easy to assume away reality for short term benefits to their clients.
And this was underscored by Galbraith who aptly said: “…as between
grave ultimate disaster and conserving reforms that might avoid it, the former
is frequently preferred.” The present-day economic crisis must be seen
in its historical perspective. Capitalism produced economics, and its oversold
offspring-discipline we call Business Management. The Economic Globalization
is a contrivance begetting the present-day economic architecture of the world
in which there is a ruthless subjugation of the political realm to the
economic realm. There is now a clear mismatch between the national, political
and the global economic structure. Geza Feketeluty has brought out this reality
thus (2001 Britannica Book of the Year. 191):
“Clearly,
the reality of globalization has outstripped the ability of the world
population to understand its implications and the ability of governments
to cope with its consequences. At the same time, the ceding of economic power
to global actors and international institutions has outstripped the development
of appropriate global political structures.”
Pundit
Nehru, after examining what went wrong with the 1933 Conference, perceptively
said: “The fault
did not lie in Nature, but in man and the system he had created”. In
economics, nay in life itself, the law of karma works
supreme: we reap the consequences of our deeds, we never harvest miracles.
To
evaluate the achievements of this London Conference, one must reflect on
the expectations that we had, and the achievements which seem likely to emerge.
For obvious reasons the “Summit
on Financial Markets and the World Economy”, held in Nov. 2008, had at
its heart the same philosophy which had worked to produce the crisis it intended
to solve. Its dramatis personae were the same who had produced
the neo-liberal economic melodrama. High expectations were generated from this
London Economic Conference mainly because of the Obama factor. He wisely expressed
his contrition about his country’s role in starting the meltdown. The
U.S.A. has lost something of its economic edge in the world, but it has acquired
a moral stature, and its words are now entitled to greater credibility. Going
by their words, the leaders of this G-20 Summit intended to set
up a sound system of the global financial architecture characterized by transparency
and accountability; they aimed to find and forge ways to ‘reduce
the severity of the global recession and speed up the economic recovery’; they
promised to take steps to strip the tax havens and offshore centres of their
secrecy so that the looters and tax-evaders can be deterred effectively, and
also to work to provide more effective stimuli to the system to “avoid
a protracted downturn, guard against deflation, strengthen the financial sector,
mitigate against a withdrawal of bank lending and to steer clear of protectionism”.
It was hoped that if such steps are honestly taken the present global gloom
would melt under better conditions for trade and commerce for the welfare of
the people. But it is too early to evaluate the efficacy
of what turned out at the Summit. But some comments are worthwhile:
- The deliberations
and its communiqué show that the political leaders
were under the spell of the monetarists. Their chorus to transfuse
massive amount of money, in various ways and forms, tends to forget
that this transfusion is not in itself enough. What matters
most is what is done with these hefty stimuli given after scooping
resources meant for public welfare. Similar strategy adopted in
the early thirties of the last century turned futile. Pundit
Nehru very perceptively said:
“This
lack of money does not mean that money has disappeared from the world. It means
that the distribution of money among the world’s people has changed
and is continually changing-that is, there is inequality in the distribution
of wealth.’
The
real question is: where does the money go. Very often it is Greed that guides
the destination of such money. Greed has led to spawn a lot of dark areas,
euphemistically called tax havens and offshore financial centres, where money
is amassed causing wrongful gains to the crooks, and wrongful loss to the
world’s peoples.
This game of swindling has grown sinister as the experts have discovered now
dark nooks even in the Cyberspace!
(2)
The IMF has been financially equipped to play an aggressive dynamic role
in the global economy. Heavy fund have been put at its disposal with a lot
of expectations. But nothing has been done to make it responsive to the needs
of our days. Joseph Stiglitz said: “The U.S. Treasury had
during the early 1990s heralded the global triumph of capitalism. It effectively
implemented the Washington Consensus policies …”. The
IMF is a non-transparent organization with an obvious and shocking ‘democratic
deficit’. The Bretton Woods institutions (the World Bank, the IMF,
and GATT) were created in 1944 to provide a stable infrastructure
to the neo-liberal capitalism under the U.S. leadership. They were designed,
in effect, by the neo-capitalists to usurp the duties of the U.N.’s Economic
and Social Council. After a careful examination of the IMF’s role Stiglitz
has well said: “I believe, that it has failed in its mission, that the
failures are not just accidental but the consequences of how it has understood
its mission”. It is time to shun the market fundamentalism in which the
IMF, World Bank and the WTO believe. The G-20 Summit which expects a lot from
the IMF remained impervious to its flaws. How can one be sure that the IMF
would give a better account of itself?
(3) Plea
of the Summit that protectionism be avoided cannot
be taken as an unqualified aphorism. It is true that the world trade is contracting
alarmingly fast. Protectionism depends on what sort of government we have and
what sort of market we allow to flourish. The April 2009 London Summit reiterated
the pledges against protectionism which the G-20 leaders had taken last
year. This issue cannot be solved on assumptions and assertions. Market
provides a financial matrix, and the government is the political regulator
to drive socio-economic engineering to achieve constitutionally accepted objectives
of a political society. This is the wisdom which we gain from studying the
responses to protectionism made by the governments in the various phases of
history.
(4)
The deliberations in the said Summit, to state in brief, promote
the WTO agenda. On this point its pursuits are similar to those of the
immediately preceding G-20 meeting. This Summit pleaded to ‘revitalize
the moribund "Doha Round" of talks on world trade liberalization’.
But the relevance of their logic is not clear. The WTO must take
some responsibility for the present economic mess. One wonders how the success
of the Doha Round can bring about solutions to the problems we
face. Hence, a re-thinking on the whole issue is called for.
(5)
A lot was said in favour of transparency, and for the need to subject
the tax havens and offshore centres to the sunshine. The concern of the leaders
is understandable as the governments need
resources to respond effectively to the crisis. But the steps, which the Summit
contemplates, are not sufficient. This aspect of the matter would be
developed in the next leaf of this Triplet.
II
Tax havens: Let the Sun shine
THE group G-20 recognized the damage to the public revenue through tax havens and
offshore centres, and decided to crack down on tax havens and to impose sanctions
on the derelict centres. But the wise efforts may need a resolution to respond
to the following challenging assertions often made by the looters and their participis
criminis:
- The idea of State Sovereignty provides in the view of such dark centres
a justification for crafting their polity as they deem proper in their interest.
The collective global opinion shall have to fight a lot for the doctrine
of Good Neighbourliness now recognized under modern international law. Besides,
it is time to recognize that the traditional view of Sovereignty has yielded
place to global co-operation and collaboration, global solidarity and dependence.
- The tax havens and the offshore centres have grown in the recent years
because many hegemonic sates themselves needed them to promote the vested
interests of those for whose benefit their governments seem to function as
the pliant instruments.
- The subjugation of the political realm to the economic realm, which is
a phenomenon caused by the rule of market under the present Economic Globalization,
has a host of sinister effects in our socio-economic spheres. The neo-liberal
capitalists have cultivated such centres, and would do everything to frustrate
whatever attempts are made to render such centres transparent.
The
OECD identified the following features of a tax-haven:
a) no
or nominal effective tax rates;
b)
lack of effective exchange of information;
c)
lack of transparency;
d)
absence of a requirement of substantial activities
But the most important feature of such centres is lack of transparency.
It is commonly shared concern that a lot of money is being generated by most
unscrupulous methods: through bribery, receipt of kick-backs, drug-trafficking,
insider trading, embezzlement, computer fraud, under invoicing-over invoicing,
and other tainted activities spawning scams having deep lethal consequences
for the welfare of common people. Billy Steel has aptly commented that it is ‘the
crime of the 90s’. He says:
“Money
laundering is the sleight of hand…a magic trick of
wealth creation…the lifeblood of drug dealers, fraudsters, smugglers,
arms dealers, terrorists, and tax-evaders. It is also the world’s third
largest business..”
But
those who earn these ways try first to park them in places where the risk
of detection, seizure, and confiscation is either non-existent or is minimal.
Then they devise ways to disguise their criminal proceeds of their illegal
origin. Somehow the predicate crimes must be concealed. The tax havens are
considered the safe places to park such tainted wealth. Through companies
floated in tax havens, ill-gotten money can be effectively laundered and
brought into the normal economic channels. Many of the tax havens spread
red carpet to welcome them. They ensure legal systems under which such pursuits
are carried on without any risk of being subjected to scrutiny. The process
is intensely shrouded in smog and darkness. First, the ill-gotten wealth,
generated inside or outside a country, is amassed and placed somewhere in the
dark areas on the planet. Then the tainted wealth is layered in various ways
from one country to another country, mostly tax havens with a studied strategy
to cover all trails. This process, called “layering”, is dexterously
done through the countries, which assure secrecy. Then comes the last stage
in this craft of laundering: the stage of integration whereby the
ill-gotten wealth, after rotation through an opaque system, is integrated in
the channels of wealth creation of a recognized and respected economy. This
whole unwholesome process does not attract serious attention because apparently,
for many, it is a ‘victimless
crime’.
It
is seen that transparency is disliked by the executive, international institutions
(like the IMF, World Bank, and the WTO), and the vested interests of ever
waxing corporate imperium and their lobbyists. Some of its
sinister effects are:
(i) An opaque system always
frustrates fundamental rights, and always dilutes the authority of the courts,
which have the constitutional duties to protect them;
(ii) An opaque system does not help the
formation of well-informed public opinion, which is the prime essential for
the working of a democratic government;
(iii) If a system is opaque, the political
and international institutions do not work under public gaze; hence, are not
accountable to people;
(iv) A government which fosters an opaque system
does no good to itself as it easily, and for evident reasons, becomes target
of criticism for lack of probity and integrity;
(v) Secrecy works to the detriment
of a democratic society. Stiglitz aptly puts it thus: ‘There can be democratic
accountability only if those to whom these public institutions are supposed
to be accountable are well informed about what they are doing—including
what choices they confronted and how those decisions were made”.
It is good to resolve to subject such centres to a searchlight. But how
is this objective to be achieved. What transpired at the Summit does not generate
much hope. First, this great non-political issue developed geo-political
dimensions on which conflicting views were held by France, Germany and
China. Second, the listing of tax havens by the OECD, and selection thereof for
naming and shaming by the Summit, are unfair. Many other
equally sinister centres have been left out on account of the political pressure
of some of the assertive leaders at the Summit. A decision which makes grossly
unfair discrimination is not likely to succed in the long run Third, we cannot
forget how the government functions these days. In the U.S.A. the political
institutions have by and large promoted the vested interest of high finance. We
hope things would undergo a change under Obama. Fourth, no institution was
conceived and set up for effecting transparency. This task cannot be done by
the institutions which have themselves facilitated the emergence and growth
of such centres hitherto. Fifth, the political leaders at the Summit thought
that mere agreement inter se states to exchange information is enough
to be deemed respectable. No body thought of why Keyman Islands behaved no
better despite its agreement to exchange information with the U.SA. And the Indo-Mauritius
Double Taxation Convention provided for an exchange of information, yet it
is a matter in the public domain that neither the Income-tax Department, nor
the CAG, nor the JPC could obtain information pertaining to the misuse of
the said Convention. Mere agreements to exchange information is not enough
unless there is a strong political will to compel derelict jurisdictons to
transparency. It seems the appropriate means to do so would be to set up International
Economic Surveillance Authority, and International Tax Authority under the
U.N. system.
III
Crucifixion of capitalism and its resurrection
A very revealing assessment of the outcome of this April 2009 G-20 Summit was
made by the cartoonist Plantu in Le Monde. It portrayed a banker
dragging a crucifix with a dollar impaled thereon bearing a caption: “The
death of Anglo-Saxon capitalism?" The dragger answers: "I don't
give a damn: I'll resurrect it at Easter." We all know the popular aphorism: “He
who has the gold rules”.
The
cartoon calls to mind a host of ideas of timely relevance. Is it fair for the
French or German critics to grill England and America for the economic mess
which tortures us all around. It is not difficult to see that the real victor
of the World War II was only the United States of America. The European powers
turned subservient to the USA as they needed its help for their survival. But
coeval with this phenomenon was the emergence of the corporate imperium in
the USA which worked through studied strategy and stratagem in crafting the
world dominance of corporation. This got its great success in the Washington
Consensus, and then in the deliberations culminating in the Uruguay Round Final
Act. The neo-liberal economic paradigm had received assent from many
of the countries which have grown so critical of it after the economic melt-down. It
is true that Ronald Reagan of the U.S.A. and Margaret Thatcher of the
U.K. showed uncritical messianic zeal to implement the neo-liberal economic
agenda, but others on the Continent become parties to such pursuits through
their omissions and commissions, overt or covert. Hence it is imprudent to
apportion blame on the U.S.A. alone. What is needed now is a collaborative
endeavour of the powers to mend the ills which have overtaken us. Neo-liberal
capitalism in the present form is surely a collective sin: its remedies lie
in honest collective efforts. It was remarkable that Obama showed humility
by acknowledging the faults to which the U.S.A. was party, and by making it
clear that his country is not going to arrogate a role of the globe’s
financial decider. No more unilateralism.
But the dig on the neo-liberal
protocol of this extractive capitalism is justified under the present circumstances.
The ‘Cloud
Minders’ must become the denizens of our world. The Cloud Minders" is
the episode 76 of a popular science fiction television series Star
Trek, which was broadcast on February
28, 1969. Spock
said in the “The Cloud Minders”:
“The
troubled planet is a place of the most violent contrasts. Those that receive
the rewards are totally separated from those who shoulder the burdens. It is
not wise leadership.”
Korten
reflects on the imagery of this Star Trek episode: “How
like our own world it is,…..”. Volumes would not say so
much so powerfully as these 7 words in a short exclamatory sentence. Let not
the world be under the hegemony of those who wax, to quote from the Bhagavad-Gita:
Bound
by a hundred ties of hope,
Given over to lust and wrath,
They strive to gain by unjust means
Wealth for sensual enjoyment.
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